Uh oh! Now the lawyers are paying attention…

Nice commentary by Doug Chapin of the Election Academy on Rick Pildes’s Election Law guest post on early voting.

I completely agree with Rick’s comparisons of absentee by-mail, early in-person, and Election Day voting.  (In fact, I’ve long argued for those terms because they most precisely describe the mechanism by which the ballots are cast.)

I mildly dissent from Rick on one point, though.  Early in-person voting is not a “recent development in American democracy.”  It’s been around for nearly thirty years now.  More than a quarter of all ballots were cast early (early in-person and absentee combined) in 2004 and almost a third were cast early in 2008.

I’m glad to see Courts and scholars finally waking up to the quiet revolution in voting.  But there’s not doubt that the revolution has been underway for a few decades.

Hawaii considering all vote by mail

Hat tip to Stateline. http://www.pewstates.org/projects/stateline/headlines/after-election-day-confusion-hawaii-gov-pushes-full-mail-in-voting-85899432298

A Better Way to Vote?

My contribution along with some really smart company:

http://www.nytimes.com/roomfordebate/2012/11/08/does-our-voting-system-need-to-be-fixed/?ref=politics

Early vote from the polls, limited to battleground states Early vote from the polls, limited to battleground states

Here’s the link again.  A lot fewer points because a lot fewer respondents.  The Democratic advantage among respondents who say they have already voted is pretty large.

 

Parsing the Early Vote From Polling Data Parsing the Early Vote From Polling Data

If I did this right using the Ipsos/Reuters “American Mosaic” site, the graphic below shows early voter preferences over the past week. I selected on “registered voters” and “voted in 2012” for the display.

This corresponds pretty well to te trends in support reported by Nate Silver, Real Clear Politics, and others.

 

Early In Person vs. Absentee Voting in Florida, a Primer from Dan Smith

Dan Smith, my colleague at University of Florida, provides this useful guide.

Early Voting Map updated as of Monday November 5 Early Voting Map updated as of Monday November 5

The curse of Gerber and Green redux

This in from a local blogger.  The Gerber/Green reference is to this article about “shaming” and vote mobilization.

Early Voting Rates Nationwide Early Voting Rates Nationwide

This should answer a few reporters’ questions. Courtesy of Michael McDonald’s website. Blank states do not mean no early voting–it means there is no data or insufficient data that I felt comfortable plotting the information.

The vote by mail and insufficient postage spat in Oregon: Big Pot Money, Signature Gathering, and More!

I have been asked to weigh in by a number of my colleagues after Dan Meek alerted the widely read Election Law listserv of communications between Steve Trout, the Director of Elections in Oregon, and the Postmaster General regarding Oregon ballots with insufficient postage.

What I told the emailers, and Rick when he was in town on Saturday, is that there is a backstory here.  It may not speak to the specifics of the postage question, but it’s fascinating nonetheless.

Now Jeff Mapes of the Oregonian is on the story, as is a local television station, so I’ll lay the rest out for readers to evaluate.  It’s a lot more than most of you want to know!

The short story is that Kate Brown, Oregon Secretary of State, is in a fierce race with a Republican challenger.  Oregon Secretaries of State almost never lose, and Brown is likely to win by a small margin.  There is some bad blood between Brown and Meek, and even more between Brown and Robert Wolfe, who is running against Brown on the Progressive Party label. Continue reading